Monday, 21 August 2017

Pensions, Triple Lock and Hoarding

Pensioners will carry on hoarding cash if state won’t step in by Phillip Inman.

The question over the state pension triple lock is part of a wider debate about incomes and wealth in old age and how, as a society, we adapt to the escalating costs of improved life expectancy, increasing care costs and, crucially, property prices.

Many do everything to avoid paying higher taxes and hoard whatever assets they have accumulated, as state support decreases. Now grandparents and parents feel obliged to provide more than just a good start in life for the youngest members, possibly for as long as they are alive. This explains why the Tory promise to raise the inheritance tax threshold for couples to £1m by 2020, and also why wealthy pensioners argue the state pension and winter fuel allowance should remain a universal benefit.

No one should want house prices to rise at double or treble the rate of earnings growth to reach affordability levels that effectively mean homes in places with decent jobs are out of reach for most people, but home owners are happy when a house or flat sells for more than the previous one and predictions of a downturn can spark panic. Pay as little stamp duty or capital gains tax as you can and recycle the proceeds to provide a leg-up for your own offspring.

In early 2017, a weakening economy, a squeeze on disposable incomes from higher inflation and stagnant wages growth, and the knock-on effect of lower tax receipts, means money must be raised elsewhere. One option is scrap the 2.5% annual rise part of the pensions triple lock, which links the basic state pension to whichever is the higher of earnings growth, inflation or 2.5% and scrapping the 2.5% lock.

Pensioner groups argue those on the lowest incomes will be the worst affected, which is true, especially when cuts in the real value of the state second pension, and the move to a flat-rate pension, are taken into account.

But keeping a universal benefit also benefits the better off. Why should today’s workers make sure pensions increase at a faster rate than their own pay, especially when it leads to greater income inequality among the country’s 12 million pensioners.

One answer is to means-test the basic pension. An alternative would be to design an income tax system specifically for the country’s 12 million pensioners; one that increases the tax burden for the third who have more than enough money to enjoy their retirement. Or, at least, charge the 1.1 million retirees who are still working national insurance.

It is impossible to change pensions and taxation while the state refuses to look after the elderly in care, and build enough homes for those on low and middle incomes to bring down prices, so wealthy pensioners will continue to take more out than they put in and hoarding it.