Sunday, 18 October 2020

What Caused Brexit?

Who do I blame? Eight reasons we ended up in this Brexit mess. By Ian Jack
Who’s to blame? The problem is where to start.
1. De-industrialization. Jobs in UK manufacturing shrank from 7m to 5.1m between 1979 and 1986. More were lost in service industries. Of these losses, 94% were north of the line between the Wash and the Bristol Channel. Happening mostly during the Thatcher years, it has been wrongly attributed to government policy rather than the consequence of economic misfortune. Wealth and opportunity moved south. The social ruin was terrible. Skills were lost, traditions ended. Part of what it meant to be British disappeared. Nobody knew or seemed to care what was supposed to happen to places such as Oldham and Paisley.
2. Immigration. Both natives and immigrants need to revise ideas about where they live and the kind of people they are. As things started to settle after the 1950s influx, concerns were re-ignited with the 2004 Blair government decision to open the UK labour market to the eight new EU states, later conceded to be a mistake (only Sweden and Ireland did so as freely). In the first year 129,000 migrants turned up instead of the expected 5,000 to 13,000. “Nobody asked us!” said those who felt strongly about it (and then, in June 2016, somebody did ask.)
3. Cultural dementia. Historian Professor David Andress argues that France, the US and Britain are all engaged in “particular forms of forgetting, mistaking and misremembering the past”. As a population we are older than we have ever been, but seem to focus on daydreams of the past and along the way stir up old hatreds, give disturbing voice to destructive rage and risk the collapse of our capacity for decisive, effective and just governance. One such daydream is the belief that the nations of the old empire are “queuing up” to sign trade deals with the country that once ruled them.
4. The Dam Busters. Difficult to explain but England has a curious fascination for an Anglocentric version of WW2, which has grown even as the event has receded, perpetuating old notions of difference and moral superiority. This leads us to …
5. English exceptionalism. Sitting at the top table of nations, punching above our weight, a freedom-loving people ever ready to fight faceless bureaucracies and red tape seem to be predominantly English ideas.
6. The playing fields of Eton. Their damaging contribution to contemporary British politics includes David Cameron, Boris Johnson and Jacob Rees-Mogg: a too-confident incompetent, an opportunist and a cartoon version of the ruling class.
7. The newspapers. While some blame poor education for the Brexit vote, and the electoral influence of newspapers may shrinking now, with their circulations, they are far more rabid (eg the Mail, the Sun and the Telegraph) in England than in Scotland, and inform far more of the public debate.
8. Complacency. During the 2014 Scottish referendum campaign, some voters opted for independence because they felt that in areas like Sunderland, people want to leave Europe. Independence could allow Scotland to stay in the EU. Few were as farsighted.
Source: The Guardian, 3 March 2018