Tuesday, 9 August 2016

Post-Brexit Poll 22-25 July 2016

A post-referendum survey, conducted for the New European newspaper found the result has left people less confident about their futures. The poll of 1,148 people was carried out online between 22 and 25 July 2016. The results were weighted by age, sex and socio-economic group and voters were also weighted to match the 2015 Westminster and 2016 EU referendum results. Panelbase is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Here are some of the findings.

Brexit negotiations: 71% feel having Theresa May as PM strengthens our position.

Foreign Secretary: 68% feel having Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary weakens our position on Brexit.

Confidence about the future: 38% less confident, 31% no difference, 31% more confident.

Better or worse off outside EU: 41% worse off, 36% better off, 23% don't know.

Safer or not outside EU: 42% more safe, 31% less safe, 27% don't know.

Feel more or less European post-vote: 77% made no difference, 15% feel less European, 8% feel more European.

What does Brexit mean: 40% think it is leaving the single market with restrictions on freedom of movement, 29% that the UK would stay in or have free trade with the market and free movement of people, 16% believe that it is staying in or trading freely with the single market and free movement of people.

The survey found no great evidence of Regrexit - Leave voters changing their minds. [Not unexpected. There is a well-known puychological reason for this; if you make a significant purchase or change in your life, you will unconsciously look for reasons to support the decision you made.]

The poll found that the nation is still deeply divided. For the Remain voters, the key issue was the economy, and for Leave voters it was immigration. Of Brexit voters, 42% had no friends from foreign backgrounds, compared with 29% of those who voted Remain.

The New European, issue 29 July-4 Aug 2016